ountries
globally have put in their commitments for climate change prior to the
climate change negotiations in COP 21 in Paris this December. India too
has set an ambitious target of reducing its carbon emissions by 33-35%
by 2030 from 2005 levels and creating an additional sink of 2.5 to 3
billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent. The government has further added four
more missions to the existing eight missions in the National Action Plan
on Climate Change (NAPCC). Two are specifically on health and coastal
areas geared towards addressing the adaptation needs of the vulnerable
communities. Indias proposed Intended Nationally Determined
Contribution (INDC) to UNFCCC, 2015 shows commitment towards meeting the
twin objectives of meeting its development needs while minimising the
impacts of climate change.
However, in the current scenario with global
temperatures having risen by 0.85° C, the world is experiencing
phenomenal distress manifested in unpredictable weather patterns
resulting in loss of life and livelihoods impacting economies in
millions. Monsoon - the lifeline of the Indian rural economy has also
seen a change in its pattern affecting 52% of the population directly
dependent on agriculture. A predicted loss of productivity of up to 40%
is expected by 2100. India is also impacted by multiple natural
disasters affecting 50 million people annually and an estimated annual
damage of 70 million USD. This burns a hole in the economy pushing our
country backwards rather than moving it forward in the growth
trajectory.
The current trend of commitments, researches and
various climate modelling have indicated a world above 2° C. However,
there have been demands especially from the Least Developed Countries (LDCs)
and Small Island Developing States (SIDs) to demand more ambitious
targets from developed countries and commit to a 1.5° C temperature rise
as they see a threat to their very existence. The world will have to
brace itself to more unpredictability in the coming years. It will have
to explore pathways which are least carbon intensive and prepare
vulnerable communities to adapt.
Leapfrogging Pathways
Inarguably, energy is at the crux of development in a
country like India where 300 million people still lack access to
electricity. The government too realises this and has been investing in
building its energy security. However, an all-out fossil fuel based
growth story in the changing climate scenarios will push it back rather
than moving it forward. Renewables for last mile electrification is an
important aspect to steer economic growth. Decentralised renewable
energy systems facilitate access to electricity at the same time
engineering local economic growth prospects. In India, the share of
renewables in the total energy mix of the country has risen from 7.8% in
2008 to 12.3% in 2013. Some reports have indicated that by 2050,
renewables will constitute about 69% of the total electricity produced.
Efforts need to be made to provide a level playing
field for renewable energy and lead investments in a sustainable
direction. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated that
consumer subsidies to fossil fuels amounted to US $548 billion in 2013 (IEA,
2014b) whereas in the same year, subsidies to renewable energy were
estimated at US$121 billion. This high level of subsidies to fossil
fuels clearly creates a disadvantageous position for the uptake of
renewable energy. Efforts have been made by countries like Sweden to
price carbon using CO2 taxation as a main policy instrument to bring
down fossil fuel consumption. This effort has significantly brought down
fossil fuel consumption over the last 20 years especially in household
and services consumption. Similar efforts also need to be made in India
for reducing fossil fuel consumption at household levels. The National
Mission on Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) launched by the Government
of India in June 2010 with an outlay of INR 2.35 billion is expected to
result in savings of nearly 23 million tonnes oil-equivalent of fuel in
coal, gas and petroleum products by 2015.
Efforts in R&D are also required to bring down carbon
levels from industrial installations looking at low carbon emitting
technologies and products. One industry which contributes to 5% of CO2
emissions globally is cement. Research is being done globally on
Limestone Calcined Clay Cement (LC3) as an alternative to bring down
carbon emissions and support sustainable growth. The study being carried
out globally on LC3 indicates 50% reduction in CO2 compared to Ordinary
Portland Cement (OPC). Research by the Technology and Action for Rural
Advancement (TARA) and the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi in
India with support from SDC have shown that LC3 cement can be produced
economically in several scenarios that exist in India reducing CO2
emissions from cement production. Hence, investments in technology and
capacities are required for looking at alternatives which fuel economic
growth, facilitate responsible production and consumption systems and
cut down carbon emission levels.
Cutting down CO