Change for Climate Change: Priorities to Prioritise
 

Countries globally have put in their commitments for climate change prior to the climate change negotiations in COP 21 in Paris this December. India too has set an ambitious target of reducing its carbon emissions by 33-35% by 2030 from 2005 levels and creating an additional sink of 2.5 to 3 billion tonnes of CO2 equivalent. The government has further added four more missions to the existing eight missions in the National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC). Two are specifically on health and coastal areas geared towards addressing the adaptation needs of the vulnerable communities. India’s proposed Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) to UNFCCC, 2015 shows commitment towards meeting the twin objectives of meeting its development needs while minimising the impacts of climate change.

However, in the current scenario with global temperatures having risen by 0.85° C, the world is experiencing phenomenal distress manifested in unpredictable weather patterns resulting in loss of life and livelihoods impacting economies in millions. Monsoon - the lifeline of the Indian rural economy has also seen a change in its pattern affecting 52% of the population directly dependent on agriculture. A predicted loss of productivity of up to 40% is expected by 2100. India is also impacted by multiple natural disasters affecting 50 million people annually and an estimated annual damage of 70 million USD. This burns a hole in the economy pushing our country backwards rather than moving it forward in the growth trajectory.

The current trend of commitments, researches and various climate modelling have indicated a world above 2° C. However, there have been demands especially from the Least Developed Countries (LDCs) and Small Island Developing States (SIDs) to demand more ambitious targets from developed countries and commit to a 1.5° C temperature rise as they see a threat to their very existence. The world will have to brace itself to more unpredictability in the coming years. It will have to explore pathways which are least carbon intensive and prepare vulnerable communities to adapt.

Leapfrogging Pathways

Inarguably, energy is at the crux of development in a country like India where 300 million people still lack access to electricity. The government too realises this and has been investing in building its energy security. However, an all-out fossil fuel based growth story in the changing climate scenarios will push it back rather than moving it forward. Renewables for last mile electrification is an important aspect to steer economic growth. Decentralised renewable energy systems facilitate access to electricity at the same time engineering local economic growth prospects. In India, the share of renewables in the total energy mix of the country has risen from 7.8% in 2008 to 12.3% in 2013. Some reports have indicated that by 2050, renewables will constitute about 69% of the total electricity produced.

Efforts need to be made to provide a level playing field for renewable energy and lead investments in a sustainable direction. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated that consumer subsidies to fossil fuels amounted to US $548 billion in 2013 (IEA, 2014b) whereas in the same year, subsidies to renewable energy were estimated at US$121 billion. This high level of subsidies to fossil fuels clearly creates a disadvantageous position for the uptake of renewable energy. Efforts have been made by countries like Sweden to price carbon using CO2 taxation as a main policy instrument to bring down fossil fuel consumption. This effort has significantly brought down fossil fuel consumption over the last 20 years especially in household and services consumption. Similar efforts also need to be made in India for reducing fossil fuel consumption at household levels. The National Mission on Enhanced Energy Efficiency (NMEEE) launched by the Government of India in June 2010 with an outlay of INR 2.35 billion is expected to result in savings of nearly 23 million tonnes oil-equivalent of fuel in coal, gas and petroleum products by 2015.

Efforts in R&D are also required to bring down carbon levels from industrial installations looking at low carbon emitting technologies and products. One industry which contributes to 5% of CO2 emissions globally is cement. Research is being done globally on Limestone Calcined Clay Cement (LC3) as an alternative to bring down carbon emissions and support sustainable growth. The study being carried out globally on LC3 indicates 50% reduction in CO2 compared to Ordinary Portland Cement (OPC). Research by the Technology and Action for Rural Advancement (TARA) and the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi in India with support from SDC have shown that LC3 cement can be produced economically in several scenarios that exist in India reducing CO2 emissions from cement production. Hence, investments in technology and capacities are required for looking at alternatives which fuel economic growth, facilitate responsible production and consumption systems and cut down carbon emission levels.

Cutting down CO2 emissions is one part of the story. Adaptation and building resilience of vulnerable communities cannot be ignored in the entire debate. Populations are facing threat to loss of life and livelihoods and they need to adapt themselves to the changing climate. Currently over 1 billion people (two thirds of these being women) live in extreme poverty on less than US $1 a day and climate change puts them at further risk. Projected changes in the incidence, frequency, intensity and duration of climate extremes like heat waves, changing precipitation patterns which result in droughts and cyclones, glacier melting and gradual temperature rise put these populations at greater risk. This further increases inequities between the developing and developed countries. Hence investments in adaptation pathways and enhancing capacities to build resilience of the vulnerable communities should be a key strategy of all developing countries to cut losses due to climate variabilities.

Push in Paris

Clearly countries like India are putting more than what is demanded of them in the climate deal to be sealed in Paris trying to change their image from a naysayer to willingness to put in more and demanding the same from other players who matter as well. What is required in Paris is as follows:

• A commitment on an equal footing from both the developed and the developing world amounting to a tenable global commitment to address climate change concerns.

• The developed world committing to a larger share in the mitigation targets with developing countries committing to mitigation targets and defining a clear path for domestic low carbon development strategies for collaboratively working towards a world below 2° C.

• A push for collaborative research and development and technology support and know-how transfer from developed countries to developing countries to facilitate low carbon economic development pathways.

• A larger share of financial commitments by the developed world to developing countries to meet their climate adaptation challenges both as overseas development assistance and contributions to the global climate funds basket.

• An enhanced role of the private sector for investments in low carbon technologies and development pathways.

• A push for domestic policy, fiscal and regulatory measures like carbon taxes, subsidy support for renewable energy and energy efficiency mechanisms, support to climate resilient agriculture practices, disaster risk resilience measures which enhance climate mitigation and adaptation efforts within countries.

• To agree on an effective and time bound review and monitoring structure and framework for the commitments.

"I am what I am because of who we all are" - the Ubuntu philosophy surmises the focus which the global climate agreements should be working towards in Paris for a world which is fair, just and kind. q

Gazala Gulamhussain Shaikh
ggshaikh@devalt.org

References
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http://web.iitd.ac.in/~bishnoi/lcc/LCCProjectSummary.pdf
•
http://direc2010.gov.in/pdf/India’s-RE-Sector-Potential-and-Investment-opportunites-SSM.pdf
•
http://www.dieterhelm.co.uk/node/841
•
http://blogs.worldbank.org/climatechange/sweden-decoupling-gdp-growth-co2-emissions-possible
•
http://www.robertstavinsblog.org/2009/09/24/can-countries-cut-carbon-emissions-without-hurting-economic-growth/
•
http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052970204731804574386490490909498
•
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/indias-carbon-emissions-dilemma/article7519065.ece
•
http://hub.globalccsinstitute.com/sites/default/files/publications/191088/fact%20sheet%20what%20is%20ccs.pdf
•
http://ac.matra.free.fr/FB/NLawson1.pdf
•
http://www.rff.org/files/sharepoint/WorkImages/Download/RFF-DP-06-06.pdf

 


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