Making
Development a Good Business
Ashok Khosla
To
achieve a sustainable future, India clearly has two priorities that
must come before all others. The first is to ensure that all its
citizens have access to the means of satisfying their basic needs.
The second is to evolve practices that bring the environmental
resource base back to its full health and former productivity. To
achieve these two primary goals requires, as has often been
reiterated in these pages, action on two fronts. We must:
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create
sustainable livelihoods on a very large scale,
particularly for the poor and marginalized; and |
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encourage
sustainable lifestyles among all our people,
particularly the rich and privileged |
Creation
of livelihoods and jobs should, generally, be the job of the private
sector. This has not been the case in post colonial India – there
are today more than 20 million people working for government and
public agencies, while less than 10 million workers are employed in
"organized" or "formal" industries. These 30
million are the jobs to which the largest part of governmental
decision making and attention are devoted. Yet, both these numbers
are dwarfed by numbers of workers employed in the SME and
"informal" sector in urban areas – some 110 million and
in agriculture – some 240 million. And these, in turn, are dwarfed
by the numbers of those basically out of work, which is the rest of
the labour force – some 250 to 300 million.
Private
sector, in its restricted meaning of large corporate houses, or even
the organized sector, is not currently geared to creating the jobs
or livelihoods in the numbers needed in our economy. Besides, as has
been repeatedly demonstrated by the work of Development
Alternatives, the technology, financial and marketing imperatives of
the bigger businesses operating in a globalizing economy make it
unlikely that they will ever be in a position to do so. In the
meantime, governments at all levels have, despite the temptations to
the contrary, begun to show tendencies to cut back gradually on
their payrolls. Somebody else, then, will have to take
responsibility for creating sustainable livelihoods. This is the
private sector in its larger meaning: entities that can be big but
are mostly small, which work as businesses with profit as the main
driving motivation.
Encouraging
widespread adoption of sustainable lifestyles needs the concerted
efforts of all our leaders – the decision or opinion makers in
government, business, media, schools and universities, voluntary
organizations and, not least, the institutions of religion and
faith. Since neither those who run government (of whatever political
party or administrative cadre), nor those in business have shown
much inclination to provide such leadership, it must come from the
others – the "Civil Society". Although civil society
hasn’t, so far, fared much better in delivering the results needed
than either government or business, it still offers some hope and
could serve as an effective entry point onto the road to building a
better and more equitable future for our country. By providing
strong leadership, civil society could, in principle, become
influential enough to have a positive impact on even the public and
private sectors.
While
we wait for such leaders to emerge, however, there are things that
can be done by any one of us. Each citizen can, given a reasonable
level of desire and commitment, start the process of creating both
sustainable livelihoods and sustainable lifestyles on some
meaningful scale. With enough of us doing so, a collective momentum
will be built up to carry it forward into a nationwide process. What
this needs is new kinds of institutions – a kind of marriage
between the small private sector and the civil society. We like to
call entities of this type "sustainable enterprises",
organizations that have social objectives and business like
strategies. Others call them, perhaps more descriptively,
"social enterprises."
Both
of the primary national objectives listed above — sustainable
livelihoods and sustainable lifestyles — are also best met by the
same sustainable enterprises – small, local, environmentally
benign businesses that create jobs and generate products and
services in the community. Such enterprises are usually technology
based, employ a small number of workers and highly profitable. In
size, they lie roughly between the realm of what is called in
official terminology as "small or medium enterprises" at
the top end and "micro enterprises" at the bottom.
The
rural market has its own logic. It cannot be judged by the standards
or frames of reference derived from the performance of other
markets. In their terms, it is a complete and somewhat inexplicable
paradox: vast latent demand, huge potential supply capacity, low
level of transactions.
Some
numbers highlight the magnitude and complexity of this paradox.
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500
million people in India live with incomes of less than $ 1
per day |
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800
million people in India live with incomes of less than $ 2
per day |
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in
150 million households, spread over 600,000 communities
|
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75%
of India lives in 580,000 villages |
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58%
of national income is generated in rural areas |
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50
million TV sets in the whole country, 30% in villages and
slums |
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21
million telephones, 5% in rural areas |
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Less
than 10% of nation’s electricity reaches village homes |
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50%
of motorcycles are sold in rural areas |
To
succeed in this marketplace, a sustainable enterprise does require
support systems of many kinds. It needs to carry out market research
and develop a business plan. It needs to choose, acquire and master
complex technologies. Once it goes into operation, it needs
technical support to keep these technologies in good shape. It
requires financing for fixed and working capital. It needs help in
creating markets for its products. Such full spectrum support
systems for sustainable enterprises are largely missing in the
Indian economy.
Thus,
one of the key elements in any effective strategy to deploy and
nurture sustainable enterprises is the establishment of support (or
"mother") organizations that can provide, directly or
through aggregation of available inputs from others, integrated
services that are needed to make the sustainable enterprise
profitable. To help its partner enterprises succeed in the
marketplace, such a support organization must be able to provide
highly sophisticated services involving complex technologies and
support systems. It also needs the highest levels of innovation and
implementation – which in turn involves the very best in
creativity and management expertise. All these things are expensive
and raise the cost of doing business, since sooner or later these
costs will have to be passed on to the enterprises and thence to the
end customers.
But
herein lies a fundamental contradiction: the end customers served by
such an enterprise have very limited assets or purchasing power.
The
cost in a localizing economy
After
all, the very best in creativity and management expertise comes at a
price – a price today determined by the interplay of economic
forces in the so called global economy. Mechanical engineers,
software designers and MBAs are, nowadays, commonly starting their
careers with salaries approaching $ 30,000 a year, even in an
economy like India’s; and twice that on overseas assignments. The
cost of office space, computers, equipment, travel and other
operational expenses is comparable to that in industrialized
countries, and often higher. And these are the kinds of costs faced
by any meaningful initiative to create sustainable livelihoods and
implement programs to bring them in large numbers to rural India.
It is
not only that the cost of creating products needed in the
countryside is high. The cost of delivering them is even more
exorbitant because of inadequate infrastructure: few roads, little
power and no connectivity. The rural customer faces a market in
which already expensive products are made even more expensive
because of the lack of infrastructure – most of which has been
made available at public expense to her urban counterpart at
virtually no charge.
An
Internet facility like TARAhaat, which wishes to cater to the needs
of the rural public (which does, after all constitute three quarters
of the country’s population) has often to include the costs of
generating power and establishing connectivity in the business plan,
infrastructure that is available at little or no cost in the city.
In
the industrialized economy, the prices commanded by the outputs of
activities based on such costs can easily be paid by customers, who
also earn comparable incomes – that after all, is the basis of the
closed loop of household incomes and corporate expenditures that is
explained in Chapter one of every economics textbook. And, most of
the infrastructure cost has already been paid for.
Purchasing
power in a village economy
But
in a rural economy like that of India, the customer earns less than
$ 2 a day.
Clearly,
there exists a massive disjoint between the cost of the goods and
services needed by the poor and the prices they can pay for them.
A
solution often suggested, not just by the private sector but also by
many in public agencies, is that the rural market is best left alone
until it has generated the purchasing power and been
"given" the requisite infrastructure to attract purely
commercial ventures to provide the products and services it needs.
(Thankfully, the development economists of old, with their give-away
approaches to redistribution are no longer credible, though the
massive, boondoggle and pork barrel "poverty alleviation"
programs of government have still to be dismantled). A variant of
this is "let them move to the city." But, of course, these
are no solutions at all: they are simply an admission of defeat.
They are no better than consigning the rural poor to an oblivion of
endless cycles of poverty-hopelessness-high
fertility-poverty-whether in the village or in the city slum — out
of which they can never emerge.
Matching
prices to purchasing power
One
possible solution lies in bringing the costs of delivering a product
or service down to the lowest possible level. The second lies in
passing only its incremental costs on to the consumer. The third
lies, of course, in raising the purchasing power of the customer. In
all three cases, the economics of the support or "mother"
organisation becomes extremely important.
The
first solution is itself achieved by a combination of well-known
business strategies: creating standardized products, franchising
local production and delivery systems and building up high sales
volumes. Within the constraints of the village economy, building up
sales volume can only be achieved by discarding conventional
theories about focus on a single product line. It is the
"country store" or super market that supplies an
adequately broad range of goods to bring in enough customers who
spend (possibly small) amounts on a sufficiently large number of
items, which can cover its costs of operations and thus survive
commercially. In this case, it is the "economies of
variety" that substitute for the economies of scale that do not
exist in a small and limited market. Such volumes do take time to
build up to and the business must have staying power.
The
second solution implies that any major investments, particularly
those for infrastructure, such as roads, telephones, water and
energy are paid for by public or other sources of funds and it is
only the incremental cost that is passed on to the consumer. This is
not an unusual approach: the rich and the city people get such
services all the time: they do not have to pay directly for the
capital costs, which are amortised into the cost of service
provided.
The
third approach is embedded integrally in the concept underlying
sustainable livelihoods: local enterprises create the jobs and
thence the income needed to purchase the products they generate –
the kind of economic bootstrapping cycle Henry Ford dreamt of,
applied to the village.
For
local solutions to work, they need higher level support services:
brand equity, technology and know-how, training, maintenance and
marketing. These services cost money. So do all the front end
investments into research, infrastructure, startup and
operationalizing a business. Many of these business supports are
available at little or no cost to urban industries. It is therefore
justifiable to provide them for organisations that support rural
industries too. Consequently, the customer faces only the downstream
recurring costs of production and distribution - probably the only
type of subsidy that can be justified on any ground.
Both
solutions need public resources for the capital investments so that
the incremental costs of each unit of product or service can be
brought down to a level that is affordable to the buying public.
This means we must learn to adopt different time horizons, financing
instruments and profitability expectations from those of today.
After all, even in the US with far higher purchasing power among its
consumers, rural infrastructure such as electrification was achieved
with financing at 1-3%, with repayment moratoria of several years
and breakeven expectations of 20-40 years.
And
they need private sector inputs, too: operational financing,
management efficiency and the ability to deliver results. In the
longer run, realistic business analysis shows that even the
dispersed rural market can provide commercially viable opportunities
for many types of products and services.
Integrating
the Public and the Private
This
is why Development Alternatives and its affiliates such as TARA and
TARAhaat have found it necessary to mix the public and the private,
a pure anathema in conventional institutional design. The
breakthrough lies in clearly separating the objectives from the
strategies. In addition to commercial viability, the objectives for
such an enterprise are primarily social, environmental and
developmental. The strategies and methods used to achieve them, on
the other hand, are purely business. And that means we need sources
of capital that can accept longer time horizons for achieving
profitability and possibly lower profits than are sometimes
available in the market.
The
chart (given below) shows how the expectations of different types of
investors vary. Conventional venture capitalists are primarily
interested in very high and very quick returns. Their normal mode of
operation is to put equity and loans at the disposal of
entrepreneurs with a business plan that promises almost immediate
return. As soon as the market value of the business reaches a few
multiples of the original investment, the venture capitalist sells
his or her shares at a significant profit. High return industries
such as high technology or high value resource processing are the
primary targets for such investments.
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Capital
for infrastructure usually comes from cash rich, deep pocketed
investors who are looking for high returns but are willing to wait
for them. Initially, infrastructure such as roads, bridges,
telephone lines, satellites or dams involves major inputs of money.
Once the capital investment has been fully depreciated, the returns
are largely straight profits.
Regular,
commercial investors – including banks and financing agencies –
usually want return on equity a little above the bank interest
rates, starting after the breakeven period, |
which is usually
expected to be around three to five years. And "green" or
"socially responsible" investors also expect good returns
on their investments, but are prepared to accept somewhat longer
time horizons and take lower dividends.Clearly,
in the early stages of development ventures of the
"mother" or support variety, such financing is more likely
to come from public agencies, development banks and green investors
than from venture capitalists. Indeed, there is considerable
justification for initial funding in the form of grants and
donations, since the earning capacity in the first, establishment,
phase can only be very small. But, given the potential size and
voracious appetite of this market, venture capitalists with a little
imagination and a longer view would find all the returns they could
wish for by investing in it.
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