In
the land of the rising sun
Kalipada Chatterjee
The
Third Conference of Parties (COP3) of the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was held in the beautiful and
historic city of Kyoto, Japan. The conference was inaugurated by
Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto of Japan. Kyoto was the capital of
Japan from 794 to 1867. It is surrounded by Mount Hiei, Mount Atago
and Mount Kurama, which provided a beautiful backdrop with pagodas
and temples. More than 10,000 government delegates, NGOs and other
observers, and youth organisations from all over the globe assembled
in this historic city to attend the COP3.
Michael Zammit Cutajar, Executive Secretary of
the UNFCCC, in his statement said, "It is not too late for all
negotiators, and the interests they represent, to raise their sights
from the defence of the present, to the protection of the future, to
look beyond current economic turmoil towards a future well being
that is prosperous, equitable and respectful of nature. It is those
who have built their strength often through unsustainable economic
growth who must lead the way towards a sustainable future." Turning
to the main issue of the agenda, he underlined the importance of
ensuring the credibility of the targets to be adopted for the
reduction of emissions from industrialised countries. He further
said that credibility should also be the guiding principle for the
verification and review of actions under the protocol.
Events leading to COP3 in Kyoto
The landmark conference on human environment in
Stockholm in 1972 was the first international effort to focus on the
human impact on environment and the need to protect it. But it took
20 years for the international community to concretise actions in
the form of a Convention on Climate Change at the United Nations
Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) held in June 1992
in Rio de Janeiro, popularly known as the Rio Earth Summit.
At the Rio Earth Summit, delegates from over 154
countries signed a multilateral environmental treaty that provides a
Framework Convention on Climate Change. The UNFCCC came into force
on March 21, 1994.
Supported by the first Scientific Assessment of
the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 1990), the
UNFCCC set the objective of the Convention to stabilise greenhouse
gas concentrations in the atmosphere at levels that would prevent
dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a
level was to be achieved within a time frame sufficient to allow the
ecosystem to adapt naturally to climate change and to ensure that
food production is not threatened and economic development proceeds
in a sustainable manner.
All Parties (developed and developing) to the
Convention also undertook commitments taking into account their
common but differentiated responsibilities and their specific
national and regional development objectives and circumstances, to
periodically update, publish and make available national inventories
of anthropogenic emissions by sources and the removal by sinks of
all greenhouse gases not controlled by the Montreal Protocol, using
comparable methodologies etc. The industrialised (Annex 1) country
parties, in addition, aimed to bring down their greenhouse gases
emissions to their 1990 levels by the year 2000.
As per the Convention (Article 7.3), the first
Conference of the Parties (COP1) was convened by the Climate Change
Secretariat during March 28 - April 7, 1995 in Berlin. By the time
the COP-1 met in Berlin it became very clear that most of the
developed countries had not initiated measures to achieving their
current aim of returning greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by
the year 2000. In fact, a number of highly industrialised countries
had increased their greenhouse gas emissions by 10-15 per cent from
1990 levels.
The Global NGO Meet in Berlin in March 1995 very
aptly decided that ‘Rio is not enough’ and called for higher
commitments by the developed countries. The Convention had been
silent on measures and actions for stabilisation of concentrations
of greenhouse gases beyond 2000. The issue of emission cuts beyond
2000 by the developed countries during the COP1 became the main
issue. Besides national communications from the Annex I countries,
describing their efforts to implement the Convention, institutional
arrangements and rules of procedure, the most important agenda for
the COP1 in Berlin was the ‘Adequacy of Commitment of the Annex-I
country Parties, and their additional commitments.’ This was
reflected in the Berlin Mandate. An Adhoc Group on the Berlin
Mandate (AGBM) was established by COP-1 to begin a process to enable
it to take appropriate action for the period beyond 2000 through
adoption of a protocol or another legal instrument, including
strengthening the commitments of Annex I Parties in Article 4.2(a)
and (b) and continuing to advance the implementation of the existing
Article 4.1 of the Convention. The AGBM met eight times during the
course of two and a half years. Many issues remained unresolved,
particularly the issue of strengthening the commitments of Annex I
countries, and quantified emission limitation and reduction
objectives (QELROs), for decisions to be taken in the COP-3 in
Kyoto, Japan during December 1-10, 1997. Developing countries had no
commitment under the Berlin Mandate.
Science of Climate Change and
Stabilisation of Greenhouse Gases
Over 2,000 experts from nearly 100 countries from
academia, governments, industry and environmental organisations
participated in the preparation and peer review of the IPCC Second
Scientific Assessment. Some of the key findings are: inspite of
considerable uncertainties, the balance of evidence suggests that
there is a discernible human influence on global climate; the
earth’s climate is becoming warmer, in fact the global mean surface
temperatures increased by between about 0.3 and 0.6 degrees celsius
since the late 19th century; precipitation patterns are changing and
the sea level is rising; without policies to limit greenhouse
emissions, the earth’s climate is projected to warm by 1.0 to 3.5
degrees celsius by 2100, accompanied by a sea-level rise of 15 to 95
cms: in most parts of the world, climate change is projected to
adversely effect: human health (an increase in the incidence of heat
stress mortality and vector borne diseases, such as malaria and
dengue); ecological systems (degradation of forests and coral reefs;
agriculture (reduced yields in the tropics and sub-tropics); human
settlements (the displacement of tens of millions of people because
of sea level rise) and water resources particularly in the areas
already water stressed; developing countries are most vulnerable
because of their lack of resources for adaptation; costs of inaction
are not insignificant, and due to inertia of the climate system only
half or less of the global warming has so far occurred, and due to
irreversibility of the process, once global warming occurs, it will
not disappear quickly.
As regards stabilisation of carbon dioxide (CO2)
at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference
with the climate system, if no measures are taken now, the CO2
concentrations during the 10 years 2000-2010 would increase by 20
parts per million by volume – at present it is 360 parts per million
by volume (Bert Bolin; Robert Watson, IPCC).
Some Views Heard in the COP3 Plenaries
"Some of the most important first steps we can
take to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will produce economic as
well as environmental benefits. The concept of ‘eco-efficiency’
articulated and implemented by some of the world’s leading
industrialists makes it clear that efficiency in the use of energy
and materials, and in the prevention and disposal of wastes,
contributes to economic performance and competitiveness. The world’s
richest countries acknowledge their principal responsibility for
reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Leadership on their part is
clearly the way forward, and I urge them to commit to cuts that are
significant, binding and verifiable ...
The position of developing countries requires
special consideration, and I sincerely hope this issue will not be a
stumbling block to agreement here in Kyoto."
Message of the Secretary General, UN, delivered
by Maurice Strong.
"A lot of work had been done before Kyoto, which
makes the Kyoto Conference uniquely ripe for our critical decision.
To avoid irreversible planetary changes, the ministers and other
heads of delegations, gathered in Kyoto representing the citizens of
the earth, should take concerted and decisive action to seek a
lasting solution to the global challenge of climate change."
Hiroshi Ohki, Environment Minister of Japan
and President COP-3.
"The majority of the developing countries will be
the worst victims of climate change but they would be the least able
to cope because of their limited resources... The speeches from P.M
Hashimoto and Vice President Gore have failed to provide the much
sought leadership." Gurmit Singh,
CANSEA Coordinator.
"The problem is that these negotiations for the
past five years have been detached from reality. For five years we
have listened to interventions from countries explaining why they
should do less and why others should do more. For five years we have
watched the fossil fuel industry manipulate and damage these
negotiations. There is a clear mandate to adopt a protocol ... and
the protocol’s structure must ensure that these commitments are
credible and verifiable, which should include regular review of the
adequacy of commitments, and a compliance system that gives meaning
to the words "legally binding" and ensures that the commitments are
enforceable."
Jennifer Morgan, Climate Action Network.
"The Berlin Mandate was adopted to strengthen the
commitments of the developed countries. The key developing country
parties at the same time are already applying policies and measures
that, in fact, are mitigating climate change ... between 1987 and
1993 non-Annex I Parties as a group recorded a greater average
reduction in energy intensity per unit of GDP than did Annex I
Parties ... the major non-Annex I Parties together had cut fossil
subsidies significantly more than Annex I Parties – Everybody agrees
that the private sector has a very substantial role to play to
limit, reduce emission and mitigate climate change ... however the
private sector needs a clear indication from governments."
Raul Estrada - Oyuela, AGBM Chairman.
The G-77 and China noted that the developing
countries are the most vulnerable to climate change and the least
able to adapt, and are committed to modify the trends in
human-induced emissions through the principle of common but
differentiated responsibility. The Chairman of G-77 and China
opposed the proposed post Kyoto evolutionary process.
Climate Action Network made it clear in a
statement that ‘"industrialised countries must demonstrate actual
significant reduction in their greenhouse gas emissions before
developing countries should be asked to agree to binding targets in
future .... Developing countries can make a greater effort if
developed countries increase the overall amount of all forms of
development assistance for climate friendly technologies, reform the
development assistance and lending guidelines of the World Bank and
other multilateral lending institutions ... eliminate the transfer
of inefficient, carbon intensive second-hand technologies to
developing countries .... The process of developing a meaningful
international response to the threat of global warming must be
sustainable and based on collaboration, not finger-pointing."
"No one has come to Kyoto to sacrifice national
environment interests. Targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions
must be ambitious, realistic, cost effective and achievable.
Governments have to set the framework which delivers these results.
To do so they have to harness market forces to reduce emissions at
least cost. [The earth is a self-sustaining system while a market
economy can expand almost limitlessly. Combining the two should be
done extremely carefully ... The daily Yomiruri]. Voluntary action
can contribute. So can new efficiency standards, and fuel switching.
Energy is essential to economic development; it is also by far the
largest source of man-made CO2 emissions. So, energy will play a
critical role in the solution to climate change."
Robert Priddle, International Energy Agency.
"We believe that youth involvement is important
in environmental and climate issues, for the youth will be the
decision-markers of tomorrow. For these reasons it is very important
that the countries that have signed Agenda 21 meet their obligations
and include youth representatives in their national delegations to
different international conferences."
The European Youth Delegates.
"The business community plays a unique and
positive role in addressing the challenge of potential climate
change through efficient use of national resources and energy,
creation of economic growth, development and dissemination of
innovative technology and technology partnerships .. Many of the
tasks of implementing future decisions of governments and responding
to subsequent changes in consumption patterns fall to business.
Voluntary initiatives are actions undertaken by business and
industry to achieve specific goals designed to make progress towards
‘ best practice’ ... Transparency, periodic reporting and review can
also be incorporated in voluntary initiatives." Joyoda,
Shoichiro, Japan Federation of Economic Organisation .
q
(To be continued in the next issue of the
newsletter)
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