Addressing Impacts of
Climate Change in India:
Are We Prepared for It?
Climate Change: A Global Threat with Localised
Implications
C limate change
is recognised as a core concern for national-level poverty reduction
strategies across the world. Impacts such as temperature rise, changing
precipitation conditions and severity of extreme events threaten to
annul any development gains being made, particularly in the context of
vulnerable regions and communities. According to future projections by
IPCC’s 5th
Assessment Report, global surface temper ature
increase by the end of 21st
century is likely to exceed
1.5°C relative to the 1850 to 1900 period for most scenarios, and is
likely to exceed 2.0 °C for many scenarios. In the coming future, these
impacts are likely to exacerbate existing economic, political and
humanitarian stresses and transform life on earth as we know it. The
global threat of climate change is likely to affect food, water and
energy security, which are crucial for addressing basic needs especially
those of marginalised communities worldwide.
India is particularly vulnerable to climate change
owing to its geographical diversity, greater dependence on agriculture,
increasing exploitation of natural resources coupled with population
growth and socio-economic challenges. According to the Ministry of
Environment and Forests, Government of India, severe climate change
impacts will be observed in India
in the coming years. Annual mean
surface air temperature will increase from 1.7°C to 2°C by 2030. A 3% to
7% increase in summer monsoon rainfall will be observed by 2030 as
compared to 1970 and the frequency of rainy days (2.5+mm) will decrease
in most parts of the country1.
Some of these potential impacts will adversely impact availability of
water resources, agricultural productivity, food and livelihood
security.
Climate Change Initiatives and Policy Mechanisms
In
developing and fast growing economies like India, simultaneous climate
change actions at the local level have become as important as climate
negotiations at the global level. India has committed itself to reducing
its emissions intensity by 20-25% of its 2005 levels by 2020 2.
While ambitious mitigation targets are persistently
being proposed internationally, localised adaptation strategies are also
making their way in nationally steered action plans. National Action
Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC), State Action Plan on Climate Change
(SAPCC), flagship programmes such MGNREGS, JNNURM etc. are some attempts
to aid vulnerable communities to adapt. India’s National Action Plan on
Climate Change (NAPCC) has already set a landmark for initiating climate
change mitigation and adaptation actions in the country. The eight
national level missions emerging from NAPCC cater to address
socio-economic and environmental concerns arising from climate change.
India also recognises that strategy for addressing climate change has to
be based on a sustainable development strategy which is particularly
addressed in the 12 th
Five Year Plan of the country. Current government expenditure in India
on adaptation to climate variability exceeds 2.6% of the GDP with
agriculture, water resources, health and sanitation, forests, coastal
zone infrastructure and extreme events being specific areas of concern3.
Gaps and Challenges
Despite several policy instruments on climate change
adaptation and disaster risk reduction, impacts of extreme events in the
country such as the Himalayan floods in Uttarakhand (2013) and
devastating hailstorms (2014) in the country indicate towards increasing
vulnerability of communities.
National Level: At the national level, the
National Action Plan on Climate Change (NAPCC) has put forward an action
plan to address climate change issues specific to the country across
various sectors. However, these action plans have not yet transformed
into action oriented set of policies with set targets. It lacks sector
specific implementation roadmaps for integration into development
planning. Furthermore there is no clear allocation of funds to address
and fulfill implementation of the action plans.
State Level: Drafting of the State Action Plan on
Climate Change (SAPCC) by different states opened new gateways for
studying climate change at the grassroots level in the country. Twelve
states have drafted these SAPCCs, of which nine have been endorsed by
the Expert Committee and three are under consideration. However, many of
these plans are dynamic documents and require incorporation of other
essential components such as vulnerability assessments, GHG
inventorisation, finance and budget allocations. Various state action
plans lack clarity of climate science due to inadequate climate science
research and investments. Several states also fail to define targets for
specific actions. Some of the specific critiques of the SAPCCs developed
so far are as follows:
• Plans have been developed in a non-participatory
mode with civil society and other non-state actors being involved only
at the last stage.
• Financial allocations are yet to be defined by the
central ministries.
• It is not clear how the role of SAPCCs would fit in
the current institutional structure of the central-state relations and
actions.
• SAPCCs are also not clearly linked to planning
processes at the state level.
District Level: Looking at more micro level viz.
district and sub-district level, development agendas are getting
prioritised over natural resource conservation and disaster risk
reduction (DRR) priorities. The existing approach of integrating DRR and
poverty reduction strategies with climate adaptation is inadequate and
limited scientific information available in formats inhibit decision
makers to assess possible future impacts. Institutional challenges and
information gaps do not provide a complete overview of climate impacted
area leading to sector specific short term decisions rather than framing
a science and evidence based holistic approach for long term actions.
This deficiency is driven by a variety of factors including lack of
climate change related information and communication capacity at the
district and community level, insufficient scheme and policy outreach,
and top-down budget allocation processes that do not necessarily reflect
the needs on the ground. This is further aggravated by the lack of
convergence between the departments both at the vertical level (village,
block, district, state and national) and at the horizontal level
(between departments). |
National Level Missions with the NAPCC
• National Solar Mission
• National Mission to Enhance Energy
Efficiency
• National Mission on Sustainable Habitat
• National Water Mission*
• National Mission on Sustainable
Agriculture*
• National Mission for Green India*
• National Mission for Strategic
Knowledge*
• National Mission for Sustaining the
Himalayan Ecosystem*
*
Directly pertains to climate adaptation |
Mainstreaming Climate Change Concerns in Planning
While all these issues cripple formulated climate
action in the country, civil society initiatives have developed
innovative ways to address this development challenge. Mainstreaming
climate change adaptation has emerged as a new area of focus for
building resilience of vulnerable communities. Moving across horizontal
and vertical levels of planning, climate adaptive planning aims to span
across departments (agriculture, water resources, rural development
etc.) and vertical bureaucratic levels (national, state, district, block
and village).
In one such initiative (Water and Climate Resilience
Programme), Development Alternatives in association with India Water
Partnership and Global Water Partnership is currently engaged in an
action research project for integrating climate adaptive planning in
sub-national decision making processes. The project has identified
climate change vulnerabilities for Datia district in Madhya Pradesh and
aims to develop climate responsive adaptation plans based on it. The
pilot is presently identifying locale specific adaptation strategies for
food and water security of the district and intends to integrate these
strategies into village planning processes. Using a stakeholder
engagement approach, this initiative is intended to increase the overall
climate change understanding of the local communities and district
officials and enhance their capacities to deal with its vagaries. The
project is adopting a participatory and analytical approach and is
engaging with communities and local level planners to integrate climate
adaptive planning in decision making processes.
Such civil society initiatives from India focusing on
mainstreaming climate change adaptation in development planning have the
potential for providing strong evidences for global climate
negotiations. With the Adaptation Fund and National Adaptation
Programmes for Actions (NAPAs) gearing up, it is time that such
evidences from localised development planning are used for replication
and as an answer to the problems faced by marginalised communities
across the world.
q
Harshita Bisht
hbisht@devalt.org
Endnotes
1 Ministry of Environment & Forests. (2010). Climate
Change and India: A 4x4 Assessment. Retrieved from http://moef.nic.in/downloads/public-information/fin-rpt-incca.pdf
2 http://finmin.nic.in/the_ministrydept _eco_affairs/economic_divccfu
_index.asp
3 http://finmin.nic.in/the_ministrydept_ eco
_affairs/economic_divccfu_index. asp
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