In the Land of the
Rising Sun : Part - II
Kalipada Chatterjee
The third
Conference of Parties (COP3) of the United Nations Framework
Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was held in Kyoto, Japan,
between December 1-10, 1997. This is the concluding part of the
article on COP3.
The Negotiating Debate
The
central theme of the COP3 negotiations was the quantified emission
limitation and reduction objectives (QELROs) - a clear binding and
verifiable commitment by the industrialised countries to reduce
their emission below 1990 levels by early next century. In total, 70
proposals from over 30 developed and developing country parties were
received subsequent to COP2 in Geneva in 1996 by the FCCC
Secretariat. The Adhoc Group on the Berlin Mandate (AGBM) prepared a
negotiating text for a protocol or another legal instrument, and
also a chairman’s text which was the focus of discussion at the
eighth and final session of the AGBM in Bonn in October 1997.
Such a commitment will give signals breaking the
inertia of ‘business as usual’ and triggering the development and
diffusion of new practices, standards, technologies and consumption
patterns. Such a result will start to steer the world economy
towards a sustainable future.
The Kyoto Conference had a wide range of
proposals on targets and timetables for legally binding reduction
for the developed nations over the next two or three decades. The
main proposals negotiated are given in the box below.
Other issues for the Kyoto negotiations were:
(i) |
Inclusion of CO2,
CH4, N2O in one basket and treat the other three Fluoride gases
viz., HFCs, PFCs and SF6 in a separate basket or all the six
gases to be included in one basket and in the COP3 itself.
|
(ii) |
Methodologies to be
used to estimate emissions by sources and removals by sinks in
the new instrument. |
(iii) |
Treatment of sinks
in the new instrument. |
(iv) |
Emission trading. |
(v) |
Joint implementation |
(vi) |
Clean development
fund. |
(vii) |
Evolution issues. |
(viii) |
Policies and
measures. |
(ix) |
Continuing to
advance the implementation of Article 4.1 of the Convention. |
(x) |
A strong compliance
mechanism and closing of all loopholes. |
The underlying essence of the entire negotiation
in Kyoto was the need for a political will to reach an understanding
and agreement on commitments that will lead the process towards
achieving the objective of the Convention - stabilisation of
greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that
would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate
system.
The G-77 and China, at every opportunity of the
10-day debate, totally rejected the idea of developing countries
accepting any form of greenhouse gas reduction target until and
unless these countries’ main agenda - poverty eradication was fully
addressed and met. In support of the developing countries stand,
Chairman Raul Estrada (AGBM and Committee of the Whole of COP3) made
a powerful plea on various occasions that between 1987 and 1993
non-Annex 1 parties as a group recorded a greater average reduction
in energy intensity per unit GDP than did Annex 1 parties. At the
same time, the biggest economy in the world had a growth in emission
equal to their growth in GDP during 1996.
|
Target and time table |
United States |
Reduce emissions to 1990 levels between
2008 and 2012, unspecified reduction below 1990 levels after
that. Applies to all six greenhouse gases; carbon dioxide
(CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydro fluorocarbons
(HFCs), perfluorocarbon (PFCs) and sulphur hexafluoride (SF6).
A system of tradable permits between nations, joint
implementation and credits among Annex I Countries. Insists on
developing countries making some meaningful commitment on
emission levels. |
European Union |
At least 7.5 per
cent below 1990 level by 2005; 15 per cent below by 2010. |
Developing
nations: G-77 and China |
Reduction to 1990
levels by 2000; 7.5 per cent below 1990 by 2005; 15 per cent
below by 2010.
Applies to CO2,
CH4 and N2O and has preference for a gas by gas approach. |
Japan |
5 per cent below
1990 by 2008-12 |
Alliance of Small
Islands (AOSIS) |
20 per cent
below 1990 by 2005. |
The Fluoride Gases
The F-gases -HFCs, PFCs and SF6 are of concern
because they have a high global warming potential (GWP) and long
atmospheric residence time. HFCs are gases containing only hydrogen,
carbon and fluorine, PFCs are gases containing only carbon and
fluorine. Current and expected application areas of HFCs and PFCs
include refrigeration and air conditioning, fire suppression and
explosion protection, aerosols, foam blowing and other applications
such as sterilisation equipment. The primary uses of SF6 include gas
insulated switch gear and other applications such as insulating
medium, a tracer, in leak detectors and in various electronic
applications. SF6 is a particularly potent greenhouse gas with a
100-year GWP of 23,900 and an estimated lifetime of about 3,200
years. The GWP of some of the other F gases are: HFC-134a: 1300,
HFC-125:2800: HFC-23:11700, HFC-152a: 140, perfluoro-ethane: 9200,
perfluoromethane: 6500 times of CO2 (GWP of CO2 is taken as 1).
The consumption of F-gases has increased
considerably in industrialised countries with the phasing out of the
chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs).It is difficult to accurately measure the
emissions of the F-gases, more so, since in many applications, the
F-gases are locked in the equipment for a considerable period before
they are emitted into the atmosphere. The protocol is silent on the
issue of whether the potential emissions or actual emissions of
these F-gases should be taken into account during the commitment
period 2008-2012 by the Annex I parties.
Some argued that these F-gases could add as much
as 10 per cent to industrialised country emissions by 2010 and it
was important that all the six gases viz., CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs, PFCs
and SF6 should be covered under the protocol in COP3 itself. To miss
this opportunity would undermine the entire credibility of the
protocol.
Main features of the
Kyoto Protocol to
the UNFCCC
The final
Kyoto Protocol is the outcome of eight AGBM meetings during the two
and half year period and the 10 days (December 1-10, 1997) of day
and night negotiations in the COP3 at Kyoto, Japan, among the
signatory nations to the UNFCCC adopted in 1992. The protocol adds a
new legal obligation to meet targets and deadlines for the reduction
of greenhouse gas emissions by the industrialised countries.
The main features of the protocol signed at Kyoto
on December 10, 1997 are:
■ |
Complete absence of
any compliance mechanism |
■ |
Average global
emission cuts by 38 developed country parties and countries in
transition by at least 5 per cent below 1990 levels,
particularly |
|
► |
8 per cent by EU, |
|
► |
7 per cent by USA, |
|
► |
6 per cent by Japan, |
over their 1990 greenhouse gas emissions. |
■ |
Cuts to apply to all
the six gases viz., |
■ |
CO2, CH4, N2O, HFCs,
PFCs and SF6. |
■ |
Inclusion among the
cuts of net changes in greenhouse gas emissions from sources and
removals by sinks resulting from direct human induced landuse
change and forestry activities, limited to afforestation,
reforestation and deforestation since 1990, measured as
verifiable changes in stocks. |
■ |
The commitment
period will be 2008 to 2012. |
■ |
Each party included
in Annex I shall by 2005 have made demonstrable progress in
achieving its commitments made in the protocol. |
■ |
Acceptance of
emission trading, joint implementation among the Annex-I country
parties and the Clean Development Mechanism (CMD). |
Clean Development Mechanism (CDM)
The Kyoto Protocol established a Clean
Development Mechanism to assist developing country parties in
achieving sustainable development and in contributing to the
ultimate objective of the Convention and to assist Annex I parties
in achieving compliance with their quantified emission limitation
and reduction commitments under Article 3 of the protocol.
Complete absence of a strong compliance mechanism in the protocol
The total
non-compliance by industrialised countries to the aims of the
Convention to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2000
leaves a question mark on their compliance of the provisions of the
Kyoto Protocol. More so, because of the complete absence of a strong
compliance mechanism in the protocol.
Some aspects of the Kyoto
Protocol which are of special interest to developing countries like
India are:
1. |
Article 2.3 states that the parties included
in Annex I shall strive to implement policies and measures under
Article 2 in such a way as to minimise adverse effects,
including the adverse effects of climate change, effects on
international trade, and social and environmental and economic
impacts on the parties, especially developing country parties.
Similarly article 3.14 states that each party included in Annex
I shall strive to achieve the commitments in such a way as to
minimise adverse social, environmental and economic impacts on
developing country parties.
These aspects need careful monitoring and
study by India and other developing countries. In case any
adverse impacts are anticipated, corrective actions through the
future meetings of the parties should be initiated without loss
of time. |
2. |
Article 3.3 on sinks
states that net changes in greenhouse gas emissions from sources
and removals by sinks resulting from direct human-induced
landuse change and forestry activities, is limited to
afforestation, reforestation and deforestation since 1990. The
article is silent on the question of natural regeneration
through better management in the forestry sector. This needs
clarification. |
3. |
Article 5.2 states
that the methodologies for estimating anthropogenic emissions by
sources and removals by sinks of all greenhouse gases not
controlled by the Montreal Protocol shall be those accepted by
the IPCC and agreed upon by the COP3. Such methodologies need to
be circulated by the FCCC to all the Parties and other observers
including NGOs for their scrutiny and comments before finally
adopting for compliance. |
4. |
Article 6.1(d)
states that the acquisition of emission reduction units shall be
supplemental to domestic actions for the purpose of commitments
under Article 3. The protocol is silent on what percentages of
the total commitments will be through domestic actions and
through actions which are supplemental. |
5. |
Article 10 of the
Kyoto Protocol states that all parties, taking into account
their common but differentiated responsibilities and their
specific national and regional developmental priorities,
objectives and circumstances, without introducing any new
commitments for parties not included in Annex 1, but reaffirming
existing commitments in Article 4.1 of the FCCC .... shall
formulate where relevant and, to the extent possible,
cost-effective national and (where appropriate) regional
programmes to improve the quality of local emission factors,
activity data and/or models which reflect the socio-economic
conditions of such a party for the preparation and periodic
updating of national inventories of anthropogenic emissions by
sources and removals by sinks of all greenhouse gases not
controlled by the Montreal Protocol using comparable
methodologies. Further Article 10(b) (i&ii) states that all
parties shall formulate, implement, publish and regularly update
national and (where appropriate) regional programmes containing
measures to mitigate climate change and measures to facilitate
adequate adaptation to climate change - such programmes would
inter alia concern the energy, transport and industry sectors as
well as agriculture, forestry and waste management. |
In view of this Article it is necessary to
constitute a number of task forces by the Government of India to
initiate country programmes in these areas of economic activities
with a view to mitigate and adapt to climate change, and for
initiating various scientific and technological R&D programmes to
reduce uncertainties related to climate change, the adverse impacts
of climate change and economic and social consequences of various
response strategies and promote endogenous capacities and
capabilities including development and implementation of education
and training programmes (Article 10.e).
Conclusions
Though the 10-day conference exposed a world
divided by wealth and economic priorities, the response from the
citizen groups of the world, youth, religious leaders and business
was unprecedented. There was an amazing unanimity in terms of the
goal that we must leave behind for posterity the legacy of a better
world. q
Calendar of Major
FCCC Events and Meetings |
1992 |
May - Adoption of the UN Framework
Convention on Climate Change - New York.
June - Convention signed at the Earth Summit, Rio de
Janeiro, Brazil. |
1994 |
March -
Convention enters into force. |
1995 |
March-April
- First Conference of the Parties (COP1) - Berlin. |
1996 |
July - Second Conference of the
Parties (COP2) - Geneva.
December - Negotiating session - Geneva. |
1997 |
July 28-August 7 - Negotiating
session - Bonn.
October 20-31 - Negotiating session - Bonn.
December 1-10 - Third Conference of the Parties (COP3)
to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change -
Kyoto, Japan. |
1998 |
November -
Fourth Conference of the Parties (COP4) - Buenos Aires,
Argentina. |
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