Emerging Environmental Issues
Kalipada Chatterjee
Significant progress has been made in the last
decade in identifying and responding to environmental challenges in
both developing and developed regions of the world in the form of
institutional developments, international co-operation, public
participation, and the emergence of non-governmental organisations
(NGOs) and private and business sector actions. Legal frameworks,
economic instruments, environmentally sound technologies and cleaner
production processes have been developed and applied to some
extent. Environmental impact assessments have become standard tools
for the initiation, implementation, and evaluation of major
development and investment projects in many countries around the
world. Since Rio (June, 1992) a growing body of actors -
governments, non-governmental organisations (NGOs), the
private/business sector, civil society - have responded to
environmental challenges in a variety of ways. Nevertheless,
despite this progress on several fronts, from a global perspective
the environment has continued to degrade during the past decade.
Therefore there is an urgent need for quick implementation of major
policy reforms to lessen the chances of much more environmental
surprises(1).
With the rapid growth of population, industrial
pollution and pressure on land and other natural resources, several
environmental issues may be thrown up in the coming decades. It is
therefore necessary to identify some of the important emerging
environmental issues so that we can arm ourselves with the necessary
data, information and policies to face the challenges of these
emerging issues for minimising the adverse impacts on the earth’s
eco system, people and the society.
In a recent communication, the Scientific
Committee on Problems of the Environment (SCOPE) of the
International Council of Scientific Unions (ICSU), and the United
Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) invited Development
Alternatives (DA) to participate in an important new study of
emerging environmental issues, as one of the 100 experts and
innovative thinkers around the world. The present study is an
effort in that direction.
Development Alternatives at the headquarters at
New Delhi along with DA’s other centres at Bangalore and Jhansi
(Madhya Pradesh) are taking part in the study. The emerging
environmental issues were grouped into four categories. They are:
► |
Historical emerging issues e.g. ozone depletion and climate
change. |
► |
Based on DA’s own observations. |
► |
Based on what is widely known and confirmed by DA’s own
observations. |
► |
Existing environmental issues some of which may grow in
intensity during the 21st century. |
► |
|
Historical emerging issues
During the last two decades two very important
environmental issues have emerged. They are:
(1) |
Depletion of the ozone layer and the appearance of a ozone hole
over
Antarctica. Industrial chloroflouro-carbons generally known as
CFCs are primarily responsible for destroying ozone in the
stratosphere, and |
(2) |
Enhanced greenhouse effect, generally known as greenhouse
effect, due to increased emissions of carbondioxide (CO2),
methane (CH4),
nitrous oxide (N2O)
and CFCs due to human activities is likely to cause global
warming leading to climate change. It is predicted that the
greenhouse induced warming is likely to increase the earth’s
average surface temperature ranging between 10C to 3.40C,
with best estimate at 20C
by 2100, with a rate of change of 0.20C per decade. |
The Ozone Layer
CFCs have a very long atmospheric life time of
about 100 years. Considering the crucial role of the ozone layer
which has evolved over a geological time frame in protecting all
life forms from the biologically harmful ultraviolet radiation
(UV-B, 280-320 nanometer), the developing and developed countries
agreed to sign the Vienna Convention on the protection of ozone
layer (1985) and Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the
Ozone Layer (1987). Actions are in progress to phase out the CFCs
by 2010 but the health of the ozone layer will not be revived until
the middle of the 21st century. Therefore the adverse effects of
the depletion of ozone layer will be severely felt in the coming
decades particularly in developing countries which have very little
infrastructure and resources to adequately address the issues like
increased cataracts and blindness, loss of agricultural yields
affecting food security of these regions from increased UV-B. The
UV-B also affects aquatic life. In many developing countries marine
species supply more than 50 per cent of the dietary proteins. These
impacts of the CFCs in the atmosphere will be felt sometime in the
next century and should be considered as important emerging
environmental issues requiring further scientific research, planning
and policy actions in the coming years.
Climate Change
Carbondioxide, methane and nitrous oxide have
natural as well as anthropogenic origins (human activities). The
anthropogenic emissions of these gases have contributed about 80 per
cent of the additional global warming due to greenhouse gases since
pre-industrial times (i.e., since about 1750 A.D.). The
contribution of CO2 is
about 60 per cent of this greenhouse induced warming, about four
times that from methane. CO2 has a relatively long residence time in
the atmosphere of the order of a century or more.
Therefore the impact of Global Climate Change
would be felt by the different countries and regions much later from
the time these greenhouse gases are emitted into the atmosphere, may
be after 2050 or later. The impacts of climate change will be on (i)
terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, (ii) hydrology and water
resources, (iii) food and fibre, (iv) human infrastructure, (v)
human health.
In fact the impacts of climate change will affect
all aspects of economic activity of a country. The degree of
impacts will be different for different geographical locations and
depend on the capacity of a country or a region to adapt. The
developing countries will suffer most, as most of these do not have
adequate funds and appropriate technology for addressing the issues
of climate change. Since stabilisation of the atmospheric
concentrations of the greenhouse gases need the active co-operation
of all nations, the developing and developed countries signed the UN
Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) at Rio in June 1992.
The signing of the Framework Convention was only
a global recognition of the problem and an agreement for global
action to mitigate climate change. However it is necessary to
understand environmental issues that may emerge out of global action
to curb climate change, and the nature and degree of impacts on each
country and region. This would need much concerted efforts.
Other related emerging environmental issues are
how the ecosystems will respond to the new chemicals that are to
replace CFCs and their degradation products in the atmosphere and
new technologies that are being adapted for bringing down
anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere.
Emerging environmental issues based on DA’s own observation. They
are :
1. |
Growth in unemployment leading to social unrest and
environmental degradation. |
2. |
Impending contraction of civil society due to privatisation and
globalisation. This could lead to a huge impact on the quality
of the environment as the watchdogs are no longer there.
Globalisation leading to decrease in diversity and loss of
resilience. |
3. |
Potential dangers for exotic species (weeds particularly) used
for production of energy from bio-mass. |
4. |
Scarcity and lack of accessibility of resources for shelter in
developing countries |
5. |
Top soil erosion, land degradation and loss of soil fertility
|
Emerging environmental issues based on what is widely known and
confirmed by our observations. They are: |
1. |
Reduction in agricultural crop yields due to multiple stresses
(climate change, ozone depletion, surface ozone, soil moisture
etc.) affecting food security particularly in South Asia &
Africa. |
2. |
Scarcity of fresh water and safe drinking water. |
3. |
Tremendous pressure on economies and ecosystems due to high
population growth in the developing world. |
4. |
Mutation of diseases and the emergence of new ones (e.g. dengue
fever, bubonic plague, malignant malaria etc.) affecting human
health particularly in developing countries in a warmer world. |
5. |
Increase in environmental conflicts due to inequitable resource
sharing. |
6. |
Disappearance of biodiversity including wildlife and habitats
due to increased pressure on land and forests, and existing
patterns of investment. |
7. |
Management of hazardous and electronic industry wastes. |
8. |
Cumulative effects of Electromagnetic radiation on human health.
|
In addition some of the existing environmental issues may grow
in intensity during the 21st century, e.g., |
1. |
Large scale unplanned urbanisation without its commensurate
civic facilities due to lack of resources and political will,
rapidly converting most of the cities into slums and affecting
health and quality of life. |
2. |
Uncontrolled air pollution in cities. |
3. |
Contamination of ground and surface water (including rivers)
due to human activity e.g untreated sewage, sullage and
industrial discharges to soils and water bodies. |
The process of identifying the emerging environmental issues and
their scientific and policy responses would however continue and
Development Alternatives would like to participate in the study as
it evolves. q
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